Focused Thinking
Central Banks
The Fed and markets are reaching a potential inflection point. Fed participants are shifting towards a view that restrictive rates, beyond what they and markets have previously anticipated, will be needed to slow inflation. These conditions create an elevated risk of a mild recession in 2024.
60 min podcast | April 2022
Central Banks
Our Japan economists share their thoughts on the recent JPY weakness and what we can expect ahead from policy makers.
26 min video | April 2022
Central Banks
Our US economists share their thoughts for US growth, inflation and the big call on the Fed meeting.
32 min video | March 2022
Central Banks
We discuss impact of Covid-19 and fiscal response, outlook for fiscal sustainability in Korea and likely fiscal policy scenarios after the Presidential Elections.
58 min podcast | February 2022
Central Banks
Our economists and desk strategist discuss their thoughts for the ECB, the BOE, the RBA and rates markets.
32 min video | February 2022
Central Banks
Our economists and desk strategist discuss their thoughts for the ECB, the BOE, the RBA and rates markets.
28 min video | February 2022
Central Banks
The impact of Covid-19 on PGG varies across countries with emerging markets seem to be recovering from the pandemic at a slower pace than the advanced economies and thus appear more vulnerable to scarring effects and lower global potential GDP growth.
28 min video | February 2022
Central Banks
We discuss the BOJ’s policy stance, the path forward and the “noise” around monetary policy as global inflationary pressures build.
44 min podcast | January 2022
Central Banks
Covid-19 has exacerbated income inequality, which could slowly build to big surprises in politics and as a result dramatically impact markets.
28 min video | January 2022
Central Banks
Our strategists share their top FX and rates views in 2022
30 min podcast | December 2021
Central Banks
The endgame of Covid-19 leaves economists in a challenging position; in many ways, the outlook is more complicated now than it was at the onset of the pandemic.
28 min video | November 2021
Central Banks
Despite a faster-than-expected recovery from the pandemic, structural headwinds are expected to result in lower economic growth in South Korea.
28 min video | October 2021
Central Banks
The latest surge in energy prices and what it means for inflation?
26 min podcast | October 2021
Central Banks
The ECB looks set to conclude its pandemic response program (PEPP) and step up its asset purchasing program (APP) in its stead.
5 min read | September 2021