Focused Thinking

Central Banks

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - US: A Recession is Now Likely

The Fed’s commitment to restoring price stability will likely push the economy into a downturn

33 min podcast | June 2022

Central Banks

Restoring Price Stability is Fed’s Primary Focus, says Clarida

Fed’s pace of rate hikes this year will depend on inflation

2 min read | June 2022

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats - The ECB & BOE: Earlier and Faster Hikes?

Our economist and desk strategist share thoughts on the materially new hawkishness from the ECB and the hot and cold approach of the Bank of England to monetary policy.

28 min video | May 2022

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - Fed’s hawkish pivot despite peaking inflation

We discuss our US inflation outlook and Fed’s continuing hawkish pivot.

71 min podcast | April 2022

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - The Fed’s changing reaction function

The Fed and markets are reaching a potential inflection point. Fed participants are shifting towards a view that restrictive rates, beyond what they and markets have previously anticipated, will be needed to slow inflation. These conditions create an elevated risk of a mild recession in 2024.

60 min podcast | April 2022

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats - JPY Depreciation and the Possible Policy Risks

Our Japan economists share their thoughts on the recent JPY weakness and what we can expect ahead from policy makers.

26 min video | April 2022

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats - US Growth, Inflation and The Fed Call

Our US economists share their thoughts for US growth, inflation and the big call on the Fed meeting.

32 min video | March 2022

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - Expert session: South Korea’s fiscal policy after the presidential election

We discuss impact of Covid-19 and fiscal response, outlook for fiscal sustainability in Korea and likely fiscal policy scenarios after the Presidential Elections.

58 min podcast | February 2022

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats - China's Zero COVID-19 Policy

Our economists and desk strategist discuss their thoughts for the ECB, the BOE, the RBA and rates markets.

32 min video | February 2022

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats - The ECB, BOE, and RBA Hikes Ahead

Our economists and desk strategist discuss their thoughts for the ECB, the BOE, the RBA and rates markets.

28 min video | February 2022

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats - The Covid 19 Endgame Part III: Lower Potential GDP Growth and Bankruptcies

The impact of Covid-19 on PGG varies across countries with emerging markets seem to be recovering from the pandemic at a slower pace than the advanced economies and thus appear more vulnerable to scarring effects and lower global potential GDP growth.

28 min video | February 2022

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Central Banks

MacroBrew - The BOJ’s Policy Stance

We discuss the BOJ’s policy stance, the path forward and the “noise” around monetary policy as global inflationary pressures build.

44 min podcast | January 2022

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