Focused Thinking

EMEA

Central Banks

ECB Rate Hikes: Not If, But When

We forecast ECB rates will remain unchanged through 2027 as inflation stays near target. However, tight labor markets and above-potential growth in 2028 risk pushing inflation higher, likely requiring at least two rate hikes to restore price stability.

4 min read | February 2026

Central Banks

What's on the Horizon for the Global Economy?

Our weekly updated overview highlights the key releases of global economic market data from around the globe and provides an economic outlook for 2026 by region.

3 min read | January 2026

Economics

Asia Economic Monthly: The Art of Trump’s Asia Deals

Beyond the near term, the US aims to build new critical mineral supply chains, bring more economies under its economic sphere of influence, and drive Asian reforms through stealth.

3 min read | November 2025