Focused Thinking
Economics
Damocles is based on a noise-to-signals approach in which we use eight key indicators to predict currency crises in 30 emerging market (EM) countries; this approach has correctly predicted 67% of the 54 crises since 1996.
2 min read | April 2020
Economics
In this episode of our Fireside podcast series Jordan Rochester and our Chief China Economist Ting Lu discuss the outlook for China.
24 min podcast | April 2020
Central Banks
Japan's senior society facing severe economic cycle
3 min read | March 2020
Economics
Attention is focusing on the global IT cycle following the launch of commercial 5G services. Global semiconductor sales bottomed out in 2019 H1 and recovered in the summer.
4 min read | February 2020
Economics
The top market moving events that should be on your radar. Including the US Presidential election, trade talks, rate cuts & QE, Brexit and budgets, and green shoots in market survey data.
5 min video | January 2020
Technology
We expect upstream companies to be more attractive in the tech sector in 2020.
1 min read | January 2020
Central Banks
Global growth appears set to bottom out. However, we expect 2020 to be a year of global growth consolidation than a full-fledged recovery.
17 min video | January 2020
Economics
5 min video | December 2019
Economics
We expect Japan to remain on a path of “steady but slow” economic growth in 2020.
1 min video | December 2019
Economics
After surging in 2010-11, global food prices have been on a downtrend, but this can quickly change.
5 min video | December 2019
Japan in focus
NAM’s Innovation Lab Department and the Graduate School of Information Sciences, Tohoku University explore practical application of quantum computers especially in the machine learning field.
4 min read | November 2019
Central Banks
Contrary to our expectations of a recovery starting in Q3, high-frequency indicators have plunged and domestic credit conditions remain tight amid weak global demand. As a result, India’s economic recovery is expected to be delayed and the subsequent pickup is expected to be sub-par.
2 min video | November 2019
Central Banks
Expectations are growing that the BOJ will decide to further loosen monetary policy.
5 min read | October 2019