Focused thinking: 9 min podcast
December 2018
The Dollar in 2019: Bullish or Bearish?
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Focused thinking: 4 min read
There is an undeniable correlation between geopolitics, market sentiment and the macro trading environment. In ... [Read more]
Five market moving events that should be on your radar
Focused thinking: 2 min read
Since the escalation of US trade protectionism this year, increasingly centered on China, a US-Sino ... [Read more]
November 2018
US-Sino trade friction: not all a lose-lose outcome for Asia
September 2018
With the global economic slowdown, what are the risks and are there reasons to be quietly cautious?
Focused thinking: 3 min read
Despite the lessons learned from past crises, currency crises still occur from time to time ... [Read more]
Damocles: our early warning indicator of exchange rate crises
From the 1950s to the 1990s Japan often found itself in disagreement with the US ... [Read more]
August 2018
What can we learn from the history of trade wars?
The movie WarGames helped introduce the DEFCON system to the public back in 1983 (including ... [Read more]
July 2018
DEFCON 4: Financial Risks are Rising. Vigilance Should, Too
Focused thinking: 3 min video
June 2018
Why market volatility is inevitable
Focused thinking: 1 min read
Owing to the recent dollar move, we revisit the main drivers and forecasts for LatAm ... [Read more]
What are the five key drivers for Latin America FX in H2 2018?
As banks savor the possibility of deregulation, many are anticipating a ramp up in new ... [Read more]
May 2018
Unintended Consequences: How Deregulation Could Lead to Credit Risk
Focused thinking: 8 min podcast
Global Emerging Markets Podcast Series
Upcoming presidential elections in Brazil will continue having a key role in local asset prices ... [Read more]
Brazil: What is currently priced in? (Presidential election edition)