Focused Thinking

Volatility

From hard policies to trade routes, the causes and effects of volatility are connected across the planet. To recognise the opportunities and risks, know how to pick the triggers to watch from the grey swans.

Economics

The second wave of shocks in China

The shift by local governments from “helping hands” to “grabbing hands” should be taken seriously.

4 min read | September 2024

Central Banks

China Investor Forum: The Global Economic Outlook

We have seen an overall slowdown in long-term GDP growth across different global economies in the last 15-20 years and, in our long-term view, this trajectory will continue.

6 min read | September 2024

Volatility

The Rise of Algo Trading in FX Markets

Calmer FX markets, liquidity fragmentation and the legacy of the pandemic are among the factors fuelling a new wave of algo usage.

3 min read | June 2024

Economics

Europe – Heading Over the Recession Precipice

We now expect the Euro Area and UK to fall into recession. The latest survey data have been particularly weak, and lags in monetary policy, rising bankruptcies, plummeting demand for lending, and a poor global backdrop, all suggest it is only a matter of time until a recession materialises.

4 min read | September 2023

Central Banks

MacroBrew - The ECB and BoE: Fighting for The Last Hike

In this MacroBrew fireside, we discuss whether the ECB will really defy market pricing and look to raise rates above 4% this year, and what risks we should watch out for in Europe in 2023.

18 min video | April 2023