Focused Thinking

Economics

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Economics

Asia Macro Outlook 2023: Time to Shine

8 min read | January 2023

Economics

US Economic Weekly Update

Our weekly update of the developments and key themes around the US economy

1 min read | January 2023

Economics

US 2023 Outlook: The Economic Costs of Curbing Inflation

We expect 2023 to bring into focus a nascent recession, with pronounced weakness across a broad range of economic indicators

12 min read | January 2023

Economics

Euro Area 2023 Outlook – Will Sovereign Debt Risk be a Theme of 2023?

Our forecasts remain among the most pessimistic for euro area growth. We are forecasting a recession to last six quarters, beginning in Q4 2022, with a total GDP contraction of 2.5%. Though there are signs from recent surveys that the fallout from the energy crisis could be milder – especially if lower gas prices persist.

4 min read | January 2023

Central Banks

What's on the horizon for the global economy?

Our weekly updated overview highlights the key releases of global economic market data from around the globe and provides an economic outlook for 2023 by region.

3 min read | January 2023

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats – 2023 Outlook: Tough Choices and Rolling with the Punches

In this episode of our Fireside Chats podcast series, we talk with Rob Subbaraman, Global Head of Macro Research, and Sonal Varma, Chief Economist India & AEJ, on the 2023 outlook.

33 min video | December 2022

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Economics

MacroBrew - Nomura Asia Macro Outlook 2023: Rolling with the punches

80 min video | December 2022

Economics

Nomura Investment Forum: Japan Macro Outlook 2023

Nomura’s Japan economists and strategists outline what’s on the horizon as the country opens up.

5 min read | December 2022

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Central Banks

Fireside Chats – The Big ECB and BOE Week

In this episode, we discuss this week's ECB and BOE meetings, and their views against a growth and inflation backdrop.

18 min video | December 2022

Economics

Asia Macro Outlook 2023: Rolling with the Punches

Recessions in the US and Europe should lead to growth disappointments across Asia early in the new year, but once the dust settles, the region should lead the recovery.

3 min read | December 2022

Economics

Damocles: Our Early Warning Indicator of EM Exchange Rate Crises

Our early warning model of EM exchange rate crises shows Egypt, Romania, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Czech Republic, Pakistan and Hungary are at risk

2 min read | November 2022

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Economics

Asia Macro in 30: Macro-financial vulnerabilities in Asia

With weak growth, higher interest rates, a stronger dollar and high leverage making a potent mix, hear from our economists as they discuss macro-financial vulnerabilities in Asia, zooming in on credit stress in South Korea and balance of payments concerns in Indonesia and the Philippines.

30 min podcast | November 2022

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