Focused Thinking
From hard policies to trade routes, the causes and effects of volatility are connected across the planet. To recognise the opportunities and risks, know how to pick the triggers to watch from the grey swans.
Economics
The widening north/south divide could result in a vicious cycle of rising defaults and slower growth in northern China. Though we do not expect a national crisis, markets should be prepared for more defaults.
4 min read | May 2021
Economics
With factors such as a moderate 2020 stimulus, tighter controls on property market financing and planned tapering, we believe China’s economy is unlikely to overheat.
2 min read | April 2021
Volatility
We see two key longer-term factors supporting RMB appreciation.
30 min podcast | March 2021
Emerging Markets
Under a potentially strong recovery, life insurers and banks in China are poised to enjoy the tailwinds of rising market interest rates.
2 min read | January 2021
Central Banks
In 2021, investors will likely focus on an eventual 2022 renormalization driven by potentially even better vaccines/therapeutics to help contain the spread of the virus.
17 min video | December 2020
Volatility
Given Biden's pledges to reform environmental policy what are the likely repercussions for the auto industry?
4 min read | December 2020
Central Banks
We are overall quite positive on the outlook for Asia in 2021, with an above consensus GDP growth rebound.
6 min read | December 2020
Volatility
What will 2021 mean for FX markets?
28 min podcast | December 2020
Volatility
Will the UK be able to vaccinate itself against a weakening economy?
3 min read | November 2020
Economics
Analysis of the rapid growth in 20 EM central bank balance sheets and show how 10 are now larger than that of the US Fed (relative to GDP).
3 min read | November 2020
Economics
The global pandemic and increasing severity of climate change are redefining how risks are managed and opportunities captured in the financial sector. Our inaugural ESG conference on October 21-22, 2020 took a deep dive into these areas and the sustainable finance trends shaping the decade ahead, with a focus on Asia.
7 min read | November 2020
Volatility
How are FX markets dealing with the recent volatility?
3 min podcast | November 2020
Volatility
What's driving Global risk sentiment?
47 min podcast | October 2020
Volatility
In this episode of our Fireside Chats series, we are talking with Aichi Amemiya, our US Economist, on the world after Covid-19
3 min podcast | October 2020