Focused Thinking

EMEA

At Nomura, we are always looking for opportunities that are born out of connected ideas. Nomura Connects brings together all of our latest thinking and views into one connected place.

Japan in focus

The Era of Disappearing Shares

The number of outstanding shares in the Japanese equity market is decreasing as the unwinding of cross-shareholdings continues.

3 min read | May 2025

Economics

Impact of the US Tariff Shock

Liberation Day tariffs to have different effects on different parts of the world

5 min read | April 2025

Central Banks

How Trump’s Tariffs May Impact European Growth

US tariffs are likely to hamper European growth rather than cause an inflationary problem, making it more likely that European central banks further lower rates.

4 min read | February 2025

Annual Outlook

Euro Area 2025 Outlook – Shifting from Inflation to Growth

The ECB’s focus is shifting from high inflation to worries about anemic economic growth. We increasingly believe the consumer-led recovery is unlikely to materialize. Consequently, we expect the ECB to lower rates to below neutral to support the economy

8 min read | December 2024

Central Banks

China Investor Forum: The Global Economic Outlook

We have seen an overall slowdown in long-term GDP growth across different global economies in the last 15-20 years and, in our long-term view, this trajectory will continue.

6 min read | September 2024

Central Banks

Germany: Here Comes the Recession

We believe Germany is in recession and structural factors such as manufacturing competition from China and an ageing and shrinking workforce will lead to a period of stagnation.

4 min read | September 2024