Focused Thinking

Articles

Annual Outlook

Euro Area 2026 Outlook: Fiscal’s Time to Shine

Various major drags on Europe’s economies might explain weak expectations for trend growth including de-globalisation, climate change, demographics, and in the UK’s case, Brexit. But could German fiscal loosening save the day?

3 min read | December 2025

Annual Outlook

China Economic Outlook

The world's second-largest economy stands at a pivotal juncture as it prepares to implement its 15th Five-Year Plan in 2026

3 min read | December 2025

Annual Outlook

Japan Macro Outlook 2026

Nomura’s Japan economists and strategists discuss their views on the Japan economy in the year to come

4 min read | December 2025

Annual Outlook

Asia Macro Outlook 2026: Mind The Gap

AI demand and the memory supercycle should sustain tech exports, but the outlook for non-tech demand is mixed. We see a North-South monetary policy divide across Asia.

5 min read | December 2025

Economics

Asia Economic Monthly: The Art of Trump’s Asia Deals

Beyond the near term, the US aims to build new critical mineral supply chains, bring more economies under its economic sphere of influence, and drive Asian reforms through stealth.

3 min read | November 2025

Economics

US Economic Weekly Update

Our weekly update of the developments and key themes around the US economy

1 min read | November 2025

Japan in focus

Japan and Sanaenomics

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and her new administration launch Sanaenomics

3 min read | October 2025

Economics

Asia Economic Monthly: A Concentrated Recovery

Tariffs will soon begin to bite, impacting exports and investment, but strong demand for artificial intelligence and a memory supercycle should power a concentrated recovery

4 min read | October 2025