Focused thinking: 2 min read
The ongoing and escalating US-China trade friction is no doubt negative for the world economy. ... [Read more]
June 2019
US-China trade diversion: Who benefits?
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Focused thinking: 5 min read
The downward pressure on the renminbi since last June is a function of market sentiment ... [Read more]
NIFA featured article - Will the renminbi crack seven?
NIFA featured article - New equilibrium: US-China tensions and the fate of free trade
Focused thinking: 4 min read
The biggest risk currently facing the global economy is the lack of sufficient tools – ... [Read more]
NIFA featured article - Out of ammo: Why the next slowdown may be difficult to counter
Focused thinking: 3 min read
Our main scenario is that recession and additional policy response will be avoided ... [Read more]
Japanese economy to remain at low ebb
We found that a sustained rise in oil prices affects emerging markets more than developed ... [Read more]
May 2019
What drives the oil price rise matters
In view of a slower economy, overseas exposure has naturally become the key differentiator that ... [Read more]
April 2019
China home appliances: Structural positives, near-term challenges
Focused thinking: 9 min video
Low volatility, but can it last?
While Beijing’s policymakers are trying to boost growth by ramping up monetary and fiscal stimulus ... [Read more]
Chinese hog cycle and inflation
While household debt outstrips incomes across the country, is the UK unusual among its peers? ... [Read more]
What does rising household debt mean for the UK economy?
Is good economics also good politics? It could be argued that the experience of the ... [Read more]
March 2019
India: the 'frown curve' – why politics and economics don’t always smile
From its inception a decade ago, blockchain is now one of the most disruptive technologies ... [Read more]
Demystifying blockchain technology: what you need to know