Focused Thinking
Economics
As we expect private consumption to remain subdued in the coming quarters, Nomura economists forecast 2025 GDP growth to come in at the lower end of the central bank’s forecast range
3 min read | July 2025
Economics
Nomura economists say the inevitable payback from China’s trade-in program and new restrictions on alcohol and catering could drag retail sales growth in H2
3 min read | July 2025
Economics
Amid trade tensions, it has become increasingly complex for Asian countries to negotiate trade deals with the US while maintaining economic ties with China
2 min read | June 2025
Economics
Nomura research examines key economic indicators, navigating between optimism and caution
2 min read | June 2025
Economics
A New Frontier in US-China Tensions
2 min read | June 2025
Economics
Investors often find signals from China’s two-tier policy rate system perplexing. The Chinese central bank’s recent moves aim to streamline its policy rate framework, better guide market interest rates and improve liquidity management
2 min read | June 2025
Economics
An agreement similar to the 1985 Plaza Accord is the right solution to protect free trade
3 min read | June 2025
Economics
Mick Mulvaney, former Acting Chief of Staff to President Trump, decodes his thinking on everything from tariffs to trade and the dollar
2 min read | June 2025
Economics
Amid the tariff wars, Nomura economists elaborate on their outlook for major global economies at Nomura Investment Forum Asia 2025
6 min read | June 2025
Economics
Private equity general partners are increasingly adopting net asset value financing amid difficult markets for new capital raises and exits.
3 min read | June 2025
Economics
Pursuing trade talks with the US will likely prove difficult while China appears to be pulling all stops to strengthen ties with the region
4 min read | June 2025
Economics
Expect rate cuts across the globe for the rest of 2025
3 min read | May 2025
Economics
Evidence suggests US import frontloading is benefitting many Asian economies, especially in electronics, but soft data are signaling weakness ahead
2 min read | May 2025
Economics
While the larger than expected reduction in reciprocal tariffs and 90-day freeze offers a temporary respite in US-China tensions, the 10% tariff floor and sluggish negotiations with other trading partners suggest the broader trade landscape remains challenging.
3 min read | May 2025