Focused Thinking

Economics

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Central Banks

UK Outlook 2020

How will the UK fair amongst some Brexit clarity, will 2020 be the year of recovery?

1 min read | January 2020

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Central Banks

Brexit & FX Outlook 2020

Will this New Year mean a New Brexit?

2 min video | January 2020

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Economics

Euro Area Outlook 2020

What's in store for the Euro Area as we move into 2020?

2 min video | January 2020

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Economics

Nomura Investment Forum Tokyo featured article: US-China conflict reshaping global trade order

5 min video | December 2019

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Economics

Nomura Investment Forum Tokyo featured article: Japan’s Economy in 2020 - Making the Case for Cautious Optimism

We expect Japan to remain on a path of “steady but slow” economic growth in 2020.

1 min video | December 2019

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Economics

Preparing for the Next Surge in Food Prices

After surging in 2010-11, global food prices have been on a downtrend, but this can quickly change.

5 min video | December 2019

Economics

How and why is France one of the Euro Area’s star performers?

Among its struggling European peers, how has France managed to stay ahead of the game?

3 min read | November 2019

Central Banks

India: A Difficult Climb Ahead

Contrary to our expectations of a recovery starting in Q3, high-frequency indicators have plunged and domestic credit conditions remain tight amid weak global demand. As a result, India’s economic recovery is expected to be delayed and the subsequent pickup is expected to be sub-par.

2 min video | November 2019

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Central Banks

Indonesia: The Return of Fiscal Conservatism

2 min video | October 2019

Central Banks

Risk of BOJ taking Rates Further into Negative Territory and Investment Strategies

Expectations are growing that the BOJ will decide to further loosen monetary policy.

5 min read | October 2019

Economics

Nearing an Inflection Point: Preparing for a Change in Global Growth Velocity

We have been downbeat on the global economic outlook, primarily due to our views on US-China trade frictions. Prior to the trade truce in Osaka, we established our base case in which the US imposes 25% tariffs on all Chinese imports and China retaliates before the end of the year. We stand by this forecast as tariff threats continue to escalate.

2 min read | September 2019

Economics

Is the US on the verge of a recession?

With clear signs that the US economy has slowed, growing trade tensions rising, and new signs that global growth is slowing, is a US recession around the corner?

4 min read | September 2019

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