Focused Thinking

Economics

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Economics

Fireside Chats - The 2020 Presidential Election: What will it mean for markets?

In our latest Fireside Chat episode we discuss the impact of the 2020 US Presidential election will have on our market outlook.

28 min podcast | June 2020

Economics

Nomura Investment Forum Asia: ESG Perspectives

With Covid-19 being a common factor affecting the economy across industries, we also take a look at its impact on capital markets and what that means for sustainable finance.

4 min read | June 2020

Economics

Nomura Investment Forum Asia: Asia Equities Market Outlook

During our virtual Nomura Investment Forum Asia conference this year, our equity strategists explain what the outlook of Asia equities will be in the near future.

2 min read | June 2020

Economics

Nomura Investment Forum Asia: Global Economic Outlook Post Covid-19

During our virtual Nomura Investment Forum Asia conference this year, our economists explain what the global economy is going to look like in light of Covid-19 and other global events such as the United States election.

3 min read | June 2020

Economics

Gauging the Risk of a Second Wave of Covid-19

We develop a visual tool to assess the risk of a Covid-19 second wave as economies reopen, applying it to 10 US states and 45 major economies.

2 min read | June 2020

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Economics

Fireside Chat - The Wonder Down Under: How have the Antipodes dealt with Covid-19?

How have the Antipodes navigated COVID19 so well, and what are the next steps for their economy?

18 min podcast | May 2020

Economics

US: Updating our Forecast as the Covid-19 Outbreak Matures

Different ways to think about the contraction and the long road to recovery

4 min read | May 2020

Economics

World after reopening and ideas for Japanese equities

Basic strategy likely to involve shift to sectors with high intrinsic growth rate (alpha)

3 min read | April 2020

Economics

Damocles Update 3: Our Early Warning Indicator of Exchange Rate Crises

Damocles is based on a noise-to-signals approach in which we use eight key indicators to predict currency crises in 30 emerging market (EM) countries; this approach has correctly predicted 67% of the 54 crises since 1996.

1 min read | April 2020

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Economics

Fireside Chats - Big stimulus in the pipeline, but China won’t rescue the Global economy again

In this episode of our Fireside podcast series Jordan Rochester and our Chief China Economist Ting Lu discuss the outlook for China.

24 min podcast | April 2020

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Economics

Fireside Chats - Europe’s next response to Covid-19

Our Chief Euro Area Economist George Buckley and FX Strategist Jordan Rochester discuss what the future holds for Europe under lockdown.

19 min podcast | April 2020

Economics

The Global Economic Impact of Covid-19

Our weekly update on the global economic impact Covid-19 has had on GDP, and provide their base, good and bad scenarios.

3 min read | April 2020

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