Focused Thinking

Economics

Economics

Japanese economy to remain at low ebb

Our main scenario is that recession and additional policy response will be avoided

3 min read | June 2019

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Central Banks

Highlights from Nomura Investment Forum Asia 2019

1 min read | June 2019

Economics

What Drives the Oil Price Rise Matters

We found that a sustained rise in oil prices affects emerging markets more than developed markets, and can drive major differentiation in EM economic performance. In the event that oil prices continue to rise, there are likely to be clear winners and losers in EM.

2 min read | May 2019

Economics

China Home Appliances: Structural Positives, Near-Term Challenges

In view of a slower economy, overseas exposure has naturally become the key differentiator that will help home appliance makers arrest the growth slowdown, despite our cautious take, on the effectiveness of the forthcoming nationwide incentive package on home appliance sales.

2 min read | April 2019

Economics

Chinese Hog Cycle and Inflation

While Beijing’s policymakers are trying to boost growth by ramping up monetary and fiscal stimulus, the last thing they want is a rapid rise in inflation.

2 min read | April 2019

Economics

What does rising household debt mean for the UK economy?

While household debt outstrips incomes across the country, is the UK unusual among its peers?

2 min read | April 2019

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Central Banks

Australia in 2019: Soft Growth, Falling House Prices and RBA Rate Cuts

2 min video | April 2019

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Economics

Ten years after the financial crisis: a more stable financial system with new risks

2 min video | March 2019

Economics

Asia Top Ideas Breakfast Series

On March 8, 2019, some of our top alpha generating analysts came together to share their latest views for the coming 2Q19 quarter in different industries including, energy, transportation, gaming and technology, to name a few.

13 min podcast | March 2019

Economics

India: the 'Frown Curve' – why Politics and Economics don’t Always Smile

Is good economics also good politics? It could be argued that the experience of the past two decades suggests an inverted-U (a frown) relationship between the degree of populism and the electoral success.

2 min read | March 2019

Central Banks

How will BOJ respond to calls for more easing?

Out of the limited number of options available, what method can the BOJ use?

2 min read | February 2019

Central Banks

RBA Growth Downgrades are Coming: is Australia’s Luck Running Out?

Many are wondering whether Australia’s luck is running out, amid slower global and regional growth, tightening financial conditions and falling local house prices.

1 min read | January 2019