Focused Thinking
Economics
Private equity general partners are increasingly adopting net asset value financing amid difficult markets for new capital raises and exits.
3 min read | June 2025
Economics
Pursuing trade talks with the US will likely prove difficult while China appears to be pulling all stops to strengthen ties with the region
4 min read | June 2025
Economics
Expect rate cuts across the globe for the rest of 2025
3 min read | May 2025
Economics
Evidence suggests US import frontloading is benefitting many Asian economies, especially in electronics, but soft data are signaling weakness ahead
2 min read | May 2025
Economics
While the larger than expected reduction in reciprocal tariffs and 90-day freeze offers a temporary respite in US-China tensions, the 10% tariff floor and sluggish negotiations with other trading partners suggest the broader trade landscape remains challenging.
3 min read | May 2025
Economics
The cost pressure from tariffs is likely to push up the prices of both imported finished goods and domestically produced goods through the supply chain. We use an Input-Output table analysis to estimate the magnitude and composition of the cost-push shock.
4 min read | May 2025
Economics
Our weekly update of the developments and key themes around the US economy
0 min read | May 2025
Economics
The flood of imports from China was already impacting economies before Trump 2.0
4 min read | April 2025
Economics
Liberation Day tariffs to have different effects on different parts of the world
5 min read | April 2025
Economics
President Trump’s reciprocal tariff announcement was more severe than expected. We have revised our inflation forecasts higher, our growth estimates lower, and continue to expect the Fed to remain on hold in the near term
3 min read | April 2025
Economics
Disinflation is underway in Asia, with inflation falling within central bank targets across most countries.
3 min read | March 2025
Economics
The private credit market is rapidly evolving, with new players, products and rules set to help it reach a projected $2.64tn by 2029.
3 min read | March 2025
Economics
The US clampdown on using third countries to circumvent tariffs on China could reshape global supply chains
4 min read | March 2025
Central Banks
US tariffs are likely to hamper European growth rather than cause an inflationary problem, making it more likely that European central banks further lower rates.
4 min read | February 2025