170 search results for: FX

Asia Macro Outlook 2025: Navigating the Rapids

Turbulence ahead for Asia from Trumponomics, slowing exports and a weaker China

What's on the horizon for the global economy?

Our weekly updated overview highlights the key releases of global economic market data from around the globe and provides an economic outlook for 2024 by region.

Trump’s populist policies and the Triffin dilemma

The perceived safety of US dollar assets could be marred by Trump’s populist policies in his second presidency.

Asia Economic Monthly: The Trump curveball for Asia

Asia is better prepared for Donald Trump’s second presidency, but a larger economic growth drag and disinflation now look more likely in 2025.

The Rise of Algo Trading in FX Markets

Calmer FX markets, liquidity fragmentation and the legacy of the pandemic are among the factors fuelling a new wave of algo usage.

Asia Economic Monthly: Asia’s growth kaleidoscope

Don’t paint the entire region with the same brush. Growth divergence is likely, based on cyclical and structural outlooks.

How Overseas Investors are Using Options to Play Japan Equities

Overseas investor interest in Japan’s resurgent growth story is boosting demand for equity derivatives on undervalued stocks as ongoing corporate governance reforms take the market higher.

Asia Economic Monthly: Asia under Trumponomics 2.0

Increased protectionism, US-China decoupling, US macro policies, pivot from green energy and America First foreign policy could adversely impact many Asian economies.

Nomura Investment Forum: Japan Macro Outlook 2024

Nomura’s Japan economists and strategists outline what’s on the horizon after a relatively strong year.

Transforming money into data

Real-time settlements, interoperability of payment rails and programable instruments are boosting cross-border transactions.

China Investor Forum 2023 – The Global Economic Outlook

We are cautious on the economic outlook and expect global growth to slow to 2.0% in 2024. CPI inflation should continue easing into next year.

Is a Global Recession Imminent? In For a Long Grind, says Ruchir Sharma

“We’re likely to have a very different economic cycle where the recession, if and when it comes, will be much later than anticipated,” said Mr. Sharma at the Nomura Investment Forum Asia 2023.

MacroBrew - US Debt Limit: Is It Worse Than 2011?

We discuss the US debt limit and what economic and monetary policy impact the uncertainty could have, as well as political risks and what it means for FX and rates markets.

ESG360 - Cyberattack: The Growing Threat for ESG Investors

The rapid increase in networking and digitalization in our daily work patterns has increased the cyberattack surface available for criminals to exploit. With cyberattacks growing in both frequency and severity, we discuss the increasing threat for ESG investors.

MacroBrew - US: Is the Strong Data a Macro Game Changer or a Fade?

Our Cross-Asset Macro Strategist discusses whether the strong US data is a macro game changer.

MacroBrew - How Fast Has China's Reopening Been So Far?

Our Chief China Economist from the Asia economics team discusses whether China’s reopening is running full steam ahead.

ESG360 Outlook 2023: Part 2 - Policy Themes to Watch

This is the final part of our two-part 2023 ESG Outlook Series, in which we explore the year ahead for policy and regulation.

ESG360 Outlook 2023: Part 1 - Will Green Deals Rebound?

This is the first of our two-part 2023 ESG Outlook Series, in which we explore what this year has in store for green deals.

MacroBrew: Will the ECB be the Last Major Central Bank Hiking?

In this episode, we discuss European growth and the ECB policy outlook.

Euro Area 2023 Outlook – Will Sovereign Debt Risk be a Theme of 2023?

Our forecasts remain among the most pessimistic for euro area growth. We are forecasting a recession to last six quarters, beginning in Q4 2022, with a total GDP contraction of 2.5%. Though there are signs from recent surveys that the fallout from the energy crisis could be milder – especially if lower gas prices persist.

ESG360 – The ‘S’ Factor in East Asia: Key Takeaways from the Series

We review the key points discussed in our ESG in East Asia series, including the diversity dividend and employment, demographic pressures and business opportunities.

MacroBrew – 2023 Outlook: Tough Choices and Rolling with the Punches

In this episode of our Fireside Chats podcast series, we talk with Rob Subbaraman, Global Head of Macro Research, and Sonal Varma, Chief Economist India & AEJ, on the 2023 outlook.

Nomura Investment Forum: Japan Macro Outlook 2023

Nomura’s Japan economists and strategists outline what’s on the horizon as the country opens up.

MacroBrew – The Big ECB and BOE Week

In this episode, we discuss this week's ECB and BOE meetings, and their views against a growth and inflation backdrop.

Asia Macro Outlook 2023: Rolling with the Punches

Recessions in the US and Europe should lead to growth disappointments across Asia early in the new year, but once the dust settles, the region should lead the recovery.

The Diversity Dividend - Equity as the Bridge to Inclusion

We explore how investment in high quality human capital development programmes for a new dynamic era of inclusion is not only essential for unlocking the diversity dividend, it benefits organizational performance.

Damocles: Our Early Warning Indicator of EM Exchange Rate Crises

Our early warning model of EM exchange rate crises shows Egypt, Romania, Sri Lanka, Turkey, Czech Republic, Pakistan and Hungary are at risk

ESG360 – COP27: A Review of the UN's Climate Change Conference

We review the proposals, announcements and progress discussed at the UN's Climate Change Conference held in Egypt in November 2022.

MacroBrew – US: Soft CPI, Fed Implications and Politics

In this episode, we explore what the weak CPI number means for the Fed, markets, and a recap on the midterms elections

ESG360 – Gender Equality, Disability and the Diversity Dividend

We take note of how companies in East Asia compare to European peers in addressing diversity in the workplace, and what these companies can do to embrace disabled workers and achieve gender equality for the long run.

MacroBrew – What Sways The Fed?

In this episode, we explore the recent moves in US markets, the softer US data and their Fed call.

ESG360 – How AgTech is Revolutionising the Food Chain

In this podcast, we explore how factors such as climate change, a population explosion and food security are driving AgTech solutions like insect protein and lab-grown meat.

MacroBrew - Hawkish BOE and UK Fiscal Policy to the Rescue?

In this episode, we explore the impact of UK energy and fiscal policy on markets amidst global growth concerns.

MacroBrew - A Much More Hawkish ECB, Where Will It End?

Our European Economics team discuss what the hawkish turn from the European Central Bank means for the Euro Area and risks around the outlook.

ESG360 - Japan’s Electricity Shortages and Demographic Dilemmas in East Asia

We explore the greater than expected power demand in Japan and the impact of demographic changes in South Korea.

Asia Recovery Interrupted As Recessions Loom In Europe, US

Asia’s growth cycle is nearing an inflection point. It’s a tale of an interrupted recovery in the region, even as we expect the US and Europe to slip into mild recessions soon.

ESG360 - Green Energy Stocks and Navigating Social Data

We take a look at the resilience of green energy stocks amid a broad-based stock market downturn in the first half of the year.

ESG360 - Why Focus on Employment Standards in ESG?

We discuss how how the best firms try to align their employees’ values and objectives with their own

MacroBrew - Japan: Will the BOJ Give Up on Yield Curve Control?

Our Japan economist and Global Macro strategist share their thoughts on how recent market conditions impact Japan and the BOJ's policy around yield curve control

MacroBrew - US Recession Risks

Our US economist and desk strategist share their thoughts on how risks around a recession in the US will impact markets

ESG360 - The ‘S’ Factor in East Asia

A research project between Nomura and the University of Sheffield’s School of East Asian Studies to explore the Social pillar of ESG with a particular focus on measuring employment in South Korea.

MacroBrew - Asia Insights: Taking the Temperature of Asia's Underlying Inflation

Our global economists share their thoughts on the state of Asia’s underlying inflation and what it means for the Macro outlook.

MacroBrew - The ECB & BOE: Earlier and Faster Hikes?

Our economist and desk strategist share thoughts on the materially new hawkishness from the ECB and the hot and cold approach of the Bank of England to monetary policy.

ESG360 - Fixing the Problem with U.S. Quality Investing

In this episode of ESG360, Joe Mezrich, Nomura’s Head of Equities Quantitative Strategy, shares his insights on how to fix the underperformance of U.S. 'quality' investing.

MacroBrew – Asia Insights: ASEAN Border Reopenings

Our economist and fx strategist share their thoughts on fast-tracked border re-openings in Southeast Asia

ESG360 - How War in Ukraine can Accelerate Renewables Adoption

In this episode of ESG360, we discuss Europe’s plan to reduce its reliance on Russian fossil fuels and what that means for the energy transition

MacroBrew - French Elections: Could Le Pen Win?

Our economist and desk strategists share their thoughts on the upcoming French presidential election with the first round this upcoming weekend.

MacroBrew - JPY Depreciation and the Possible Policy Risks

Our Japan economists share their thoughts on the recent JPY weakness and what we can expect ahead from policy makers.

ESG360 - The EU’s Social Taxonomy, Climate Risks and ESG in Ukraine

We discuss recent developments in the EU's social taxonomy, how financial firms are managing climate risk and the ESG implications in Ukraine

ESG360 - How Solar Power Can Fuel the Green Energy Transition

We discuss the future of solar energy as pressure builds on countries to reach net zero emissions goals

MacroBrew - US Growth, Inflation and The Fed Call

Our US economists share their thoughts for US growth, inflation and the big call on the Fed meeting.

MacroBrew - China's Zero COVID-19 Policy

Our economists and desk strategist discuss their thoughts for the ECB, the BOE, the RBA and rates markets.

MacroBrew - The ECB, BOE, and RBA Hikes Ahead

Our economists and desk strategist discuss their thoughts for the ECB, the BOE, the RBA and rates markets.

The EU's Green Taxonomy and the Rise of Social Bonds in Asia

Our guests discuss the EU’s controversial move to add natural gas and nuclear to its green taxonomy, and the increased issuance of social bonds driving change in Asia.

MacroBrew - The Covid 19 Endgame Part III: Lower Potential GDP Growth and Bankruptcies

The impact of Covid-19 on PGG varies across countries with emerging markets seem to be recovering from the pandemic at a slower pace than the advanced economies and thus appear more vulnerable to scarring effects and lower global potential GDP growth.

MacroBrew - The BOJ’s Policy Stance

We discuss the BOJ’s policy stance, the path forward and the “noise” around monetary policy as global inflationary pressures build.

MacroBrew - G10 FX: Events and themes in 2022

We discuss key events and themes to track in 2022, and how they might affect our views.

ESG360 - What to Watch in 2022

Charting the key trends shaping the world of sustainable finance as companies and countries strive to cut carbon emissions and make the world a fairer place.

MacroBrew - Japanese Macroeconomic Outlook and Market Strategies for 2022

Our Japan Macro and FX strategy team share their thoughts for Japanese markets in the year ahead

MacroBrew - The Covid 19 Endgame Part II: Inequality

Covid-19 has exacerbated income inequality, which could slowly build to big surprises in politics and as a result dramatically impact markets.

US 2022 Economic Outlook: Strong but Slowing Growth, Elevated Inflation and Policy Normalization

We expect strong but slowing growth, elevated inflation and accelerated Fed policy normalization

Global Economic Outlook 2022 - The heat is on... for now

High inflation has central banks feeling the heat, but by late 2022 we see a very different backdrop, with stagnation a bigger risk than stagflation.

MacroBrew - International Wealth Management Top Asset Allocation Themes 2022

Gareth Nicholson, CIO and Head of Discretionary Portfolio Management, International Wealth Management, shares the top seven asset allocation themes going into 2022.

MacroBrew – Global Economic Outlook 2022: The heat is on... for now

Our strategists share their top FX and rates views in 2022

Asia Outlook 2022: As the Tide Turns

We are cautious on Asia’s economic outlook in 2022 as the emergence of the Omicron variant reminds us that the pandemic is far from over.

MacroBrew – Top FX and Rates Views in 2022

Our strategists share their top FX and rates views in 2022

Nomura Investment Forum 2021: Japan Macro Outlook

Nomura’s Japan experts outline what’s on the horizon as the country’s economy approaches the endgame of the Covid-19 pandemic

MacroBrew – ASEAN Insights: Could Tourism Disappoint?

Why is tourism in ASEAN is likely to disappoint ahead?

Damocles: Our Early Warning Indicator of EM Exchange Rate Crises

Four countries – Egypt, Romania, Turkey and Sri Lanka – are currently at risk of a currency crisis with Damocles scores above 100.

MacroBrew - The Covid 19 Endgame

The endgame of Covid-19 leaves economists in a challenging position; in many ways, the outlook is more complicated now than it was at the onset of the pandemic.

Korea: Japanification Risks Strike Again

Despite a faster-than-expected recovery from the pandemic, structural headwinds are expected to result in lower economic growth in South Korea.

MacroBrew - US Insights: Higher Inflation Ahead

Inflation expected to go higher in the near future, but will it last?

MacroBrew – Europe Insights: Does the energy crisis mean higher inflation ahead?

The latest surge in energy prices and what it means for inflation?

The “Troubled Ten” in EM

We warn of ten economies that appear most vulnerable: Brazil, Colombia, Chile, Peru, Hungary, Romania, Turkey, South Africa, Indonesia and the Philippines.

MacroBrew – APAC Tech Strategy: Growth opportunities in a post Covid-19 world

Asia's tech cycle and growth opportunities to watch.

MacroBrew – Japan Insights: Abenomics to Suganomics to…?

Outlook for Japan and markets ahead of the election.

MacroBrew - A conversation with BSP Governor Diokno

An outlook for the Philippines amid the latest Covid-19 wave, with guest speaker Benjamin Diokno, BSP Governor.

MacroBrew – China Investor Forum: Beijing’s ‘Volcker Moment’

China’s curbs on the property sector likely mean sacrificing short-term stability, but could pave the way for Beijing to pursue long-term growth

MacroBrew - Australia Insights: Antipodes at the mercy of another Covid-19 wave

How bad is the situation on the ground, and how did they get here?

MacroBrew – ASEAN insights: Under pressure

Covid-19 pressure causing a delay in ASEAN's economic recovery.

MacroBrew - China Insights: Targeted tightening and universal easing

Is China approaching a slowdown?

Indonesia: A Worrying Wave Hits Hard

The Indonesian government has introduced more stringent measures to tackle the resurgence of Covid-19 cases amid the spread of the delta variant and low vaccination rate.

MacroBrew - UK insights: The Great Reopening

The UK's outlook following mass easing of Covid-19 restrictions.

MacroBrew - US Infrastructure: The Next Great Debate

Biden’s $1.2 trillion infrastructure plan, what to expect?

MacroBrew - US & European Insights: Inflation, how far will it go?

Commodities and inflation are rising, how will they respond across the pond?

It’s the Decade to Double Down on Chinese Equities

It is time for global investors to recognize China's scale and complexity, consider it a separate asset class and dedicate more resources and funds to this market.

MacroBrew - Japan Insights: Mid-year Macro Strategy Outlook

We discuss the impact of this recent wave of Covid-19 infections.

MacroBrew - Asia Insights: Is the world out of chips?

The Global semi-conductor chip shortage and impact to markets.

MacroBrew - Asia Insights: Will China’s North-South divide have multiple growth implications?

Outlook on China's North-South divide.

MacroBrew - Asia Insights: The surge in India’s Covid-19 cases, and its repercussions…

The surge in Covid-19, and it's impact on India's outlook

The Risk of EM Central Bank Overreach

Which EM central banks are more at risk of falling behind the curve and of greater fiscal dominance?

MacroBrew - US Insights: Outlook for infrastructure and fiscal spending

What are Biden's plans for growth this year?

China: We See No Fiscal Cliff in 2021

With factors such as a moderate 2020 stimulus, tighter controls on property market financing and planned tapering, we believe China’s economy is unlikely to overheat.

MacroBrew – Asia Insights: Prospects for Indonesian and ASEAN economies.

Outlook for ASEAN economies.

MacroBrew – EM Insights: Which countries lie under the Damocles Sword?

Which Emerging Markets are at risk of an exchange rate crisis?

MacroBrew – FX Insights: RMB – Bullish beyond the year of the Ox?

We see two key longer-term factors supporting RMB appreciation.

MacroBrew - BoJ and ECB Strategy Review: A New Direction?

How will the upcoming BoJ and ECB meetings impact monetary policy strategy and markets?

MacroBrew – The Wonder Down Under: Lessons on life without Covid-19

What can we learn from Australia and New Zealand on life without Covid-19.

MacroBrew - UK Insights: Will the UK be the underdog story of 2021?

Will the vaccine rollout result in the comeback story of 2021?

Fireside Chats – Asia insights: How is Asia extending its lead in the race to recovery?

Why are Asian economies going to be the outperformers of 2021?

Fireside Chats - US Outlook: New Year, new President, new America?

What does 2021 hold for the USA?

2021 Global Economic Outlook - A topsy-turvy recovery

The still-raging pandemic produced a unique recession in 2020, but what does the future hold?

Asia Outlook 2021 – Bracing for Reflation

We are overall quite positive on the outlook for Asia in 2021, with an above consensus GDP growth rebound.

Fireside Chats: 2021 Outlook – Global restoration, converting hope into reality.

Our Global outlook for 2021.

Fireside Chats: 2021 Outlook – Asia, a year for Suganomics, China’s growth, and good fortunes?

What will 2021 mean for Asia's outlook?

Fireside Chats: 2021 Outlook - Global FX Strategy, overcoming political hurdles.

What will 2021 mean for FX markets?

Fireside Chats: ESG Insights – ESG’s star performance in 2020, its role in bank capital issuance, & what’s next?

After a record year of issuance, what's next for ESG?

Classification of Risks Is Key to Tackling Climate Change

Absence of clear standards makes analyzing the financial risk differential between green and brown assets challenging for financial institutions.

Fireside Chats – Asia Insights: China’s Dual Circulation Strategy; clear aim, tricky implementation.

Is China becoming more self-sufficient?

Emerging Markets’ Quantitative Easing Amid Rising Investor Discrimination

Analysis of the rapid growth in 20 EM central bank balance sheets and show how 10 are now larger than that of the US Fed (relative to GDP).

Fireside Chats – Asia Insights: How do the Thai protests tie into the Thai economy?

How much of an impact are the recent protests having on the Thai Economy?

Fireside Chats – FX Insights: USD and CNY, how are 2 sides of different coins dealing with recent volatility?

How are FX markets dealing with the recent volatility?

Fireside Chats - The 2020 US Election: Initial results are in, but how's Joe biding his time?

Our US Economics team on what to make of the US election results.

The 2020 US Presidential Election - What to know?

With less than a week till Election Day, we've highlighted the key policies, swing states, probabilities, events and more to keep in mind.

Fireside Chats – Euro Area Outlook: How is Europe riding the second wave of Covid-19?

Our European Economics team, discuss the key lessons to be learnt from new Covid-19 outbreaks.

Fireside Chats – Emerging Markets FX Insights

Is Indonesian 'helicopter money' keeping their economy aflight?

Fireside Chats – Cross Asset Desk Strategy: A market focused on the upside

What's driving Global risk sentiment?

Fireside Chats – The world after Covid-19: Behaviour changes, and income inequality

In this episode of our Fireside Chats series, we are talking with Aichi Amemiya, our US Economist, on the world after Covid-19

Fireside Chats – The 2020 US Election: Trump vs Biden, who will be ‘shut up’ for good?

We talk with Robert Dent, from our US economics team, on the outlook for the US after the first TV debate.

Indonesia: Thoughts on Emerging Policy Challenges and Risks

In this webinar, we discuss recent major developments in Indonesia including lockdown measures re-imposed in Jakarta.

Fireside Chats – Japan Outlook: Abenomics without the Abe?

With a change in leadership after the resignation of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, what's next for Japan?

Fireside Chats - The 2020 US Election: What would a Biden win mean for the dollar?

What would the 2020 US election mean for FX markets?

Is the ECB playing catch up with the Fed?

Will the European Central Bank follow in the Fed’s footsteps and implement average inflation targeting?

Fireside Chats - The 2020 US Election: Economic Policy under a Biden Administration?

In this episode of our Fireside Chat series we are talking with Lewis Alexander our Chief US Economist on the 2020 US election.

Fireside Chats - The World After Covid-19: Where do we go next?

Have Governments and Investors reached their limits?

Fireside Chats - The EU recovery fund: The what, the why, the how?

In this episode of our Fireside Chat series Jordan talks with Marco Brancolini from our EUR rates desk strategy team on the EU recovery fund.

Fireside Chats - Asia's Emerging Markets: The best of a bad bunch

The state of Asia's Emerging Markets and how they got there.

FX Options: Embracing the Potential of Platforms

Regulatory requirements, clients’ drive for efficiency, and the experience of working from home during the COVID-19 pandemic are spurring a shift of FX option activity to platforms.

Fireside Chats - The 2020 Presidential Election: What will it mean for markets?

In our latest Fireside Chat episode we discuss the impact of the 2020 US Presidential election will have on our market outlook.

Fireside Chats - Forecasting a second wave of Covid-19

Is mobility data the next tool in the fight against Covid-19?

Fireside Chats - How are Asia's Emerging Markets supporting the bottom of the pyramid?

In this week’s episode Euben Paracuelles discusses how some Asia's EMs are coping with the impact of the COVID-19.

Fireside Chat - The Wonder Down Under: How have the Antipodes dealt with Covid-19?

How have the Antipodes navigated COVID19 so well, and what are the next steps for their economy?

US: Updating our Forecast as the Covid-19 Outbreak Matures

Different ways to think about the contraction and the long road to recovery

Fireside Chats - What does the US Treasury Foreign Exchange report mean for FX markets?

Craig Chan our Global Head of FX Strategy discusses what his thoughts are for the upcoming US Treasury FX report

Fireside Chats - US Updated Outlook: What's left in the FED's toolbox to fight Covid-19?

Jordan Rochester and our Chief US Economist Lewis Alexander discuss how the FED intends on combating Covid-19

Fireside Chats - Big stimulus in the pipeline, but China won’t rescue the Global economy again

In this episode of our Fireside podcast series Jordan Rochester and our Chief China Economist Ting Lu discuss the outlook for China.

Fireside Chats - Europe’s next response to Covid-19

Our Chief Euro Area Economist George Buckley and FX Strategist Jordan Rochester discuss what the future holds for Europe under lockdown.

Asia Pacific Technology: The Bull Phase to Continue in 2020F

We expect upstream companies to be more attractive in the tech sector in 2020.

UK Outlook 2020

How will the UK fair amongst some Brexit clarity, will 2020 be the year of recovery?

Brexit & FX Outlook 2020

Will this New Year mean a New Brexit?

Euro Area Outlook 2020

What's in store for the Euro Area as we move into 2020?

Nomura Investment Forum Tokyo featured article: Japan’s Economy in 2020 - Making the Case for Cautious Optimism

We expect Japan to remain on a path of “steady but slow” economic growth in 2020.

Quantum Computer Research of Nomura Asset Management

NAM’s Innovation Lab Department and the Graduate School of Information Sciences, Tohoku University explore practical application of quantum computers especially in the machine learning field.

Does eFX still require a human touch?

Client demands for speed and efficiency, coupled with regulatory pressure for transparency, will continue to drive the growth of electronic trading, including trading of more complex products

Risk of BOJ taking Rates Further into Negative Territory and Investment Strategies

Expectations are growing that the BOJ will decide to further loosen monetary policy.

Are the Major Central Banks Trapped?

The policy reaction function of many of the world’s major central banks looks to have changed and a number have yet again made a dovish shift. We argue that these central banks could be “trapped” in an ultra-loose monetary policy stance and are losing their ability to normalize policy.

Damocles Update: Who is at Risk?

Damocles is based on a noise-to-signals approach in which we use eight key indicators to predict currency crises in 30 emerging market (EM) countries; this approach has correctly predicted 67% of the 54 crises since 1996.

Low volatility, but can it last?

Apart from Brexit, US-China trade talks, and the potential for Fed cuts, one of the big themes of 2019 thus far has been the surprising state of market volatility.

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Equity Markets in 2019: Soft Power Matters

As we approach 2019, we see a slowdown in economic growth rates across the region, but we can also expect some structural changes in the way investors view Asia, such as the China market. Traditionally, investors have looked at China in the context of Asia ex-Japan. However, our projections suggest China will be the biggest component of Asia-Pacific, superseding Japan as the biggest market in the region by 2023. Jim McCafferty, Head of Equity Research AEJ, talks about the forecast of the equity markets in 2019.

Asia FX and rates outlook 2019

We believe the performance of Asia FX/local markets over the coming year can be categorized into three episodes.

China outlook 2019: after winter comes spring

As the Chinese saying goes, “After endless mountains and rivers that leave doubt whether there is a path out, suddenly one encounters the shade of a willow, bright flowers and a lovely village. (山重水复疑无路，柳暗花明又一村)”, China’s economic condition is expected to face a difficult H1 2019 before the rebound in H2.

Asia in 2019: Always Darkest Before the Dawn

Our 2019 GDP growth forecasts are not too different from the streets – while we are more downbeat on China, India and Malaysia, we are more positive on Indonesia and the Philippines.

Oil Price Slump: A Big EM Differentiator

Oil prices have fallen sharply. This drop, if sustained, will have a greater impact on emerging markets than developed markets.

How X-Elio completed Japan’s largest solar sale

How X-Elio completed Japan’s largest solar sale – and what it says about the sector’s evolution

In the hunt for yield where are the new sources of volatility?

As mainstream markets evolve, structured products that focus on volatility are becoming more central to risk management and investment. Traditional products, such as long-only equities or bonds, are no longer a sufficient means for investors to achieve their goals.

Thailand: a fragile investment cycle

The ongoing investment recovery in Thailand is likely to be unsustainable with the election potentially resulting in another adverse political environment, particularly for private investment.

Damocles: our early warning indicator of exchange rate crises

Despite the lessons learned from past crises, currency crises still occur from time to time and spread contagiously when they happen. After receiving substantial capital inflows, some EM economies are under pressure this year.

Deciphering EM Rate Expectations

What are some of the patterns in Asia with regards to fixing and policy rates? We analyze 14 EM rates markets through the prism of our rates expectation framework.

What are the five key drivers for Latin America FX in H2 2018?

Owing to the recent dollar move, we revisit the main drivers and forecasts for LatAm FX in H2 2018. We have identified the following five key drivers which are likely to continue to be important in terms of currency performance in the second-half of the year.

Global Emerging Markets Podcast Series

Goldilocks economic conditions of strong growth and low inflation and the hunt for yield mean that most investors remain optimistic. But in our three podcasts below, Nomura economists point out that there are good reasons to be cautious.

Brazil: What is currently priced in? (Presidential election edition)

Upcoming presidential elections in Brazil will continue having a key role in local asset prices. Therefore, a clearer understanding of what the market is pricing in with regard to the presidential election outcome (and the implications for the approval of long-awaited pension reform) will be key for trading Brazil over the coming months.

What is fuelling trade in global emerging markets?

Trade has played a critical role in the development of emerging market (EM) countries. But as we discuss in our video, the increase in protectionist rhetoric in recent years threatens to stall or even reverse globalization. How will EM countries cope?

How is technology transforming global emerging markets?

Technology has transformed the global economy in the last decade and made it easier to transfer knowledge. Now it’s giving emerging markets a competitive advantage, allowing them in some cases to be more agile and innovative than developed economies.

Who would bear the brunt of increased US protectionism?

In this study, our economists assess the impact of US trade protectionism, centering on China. The goal is to examine which countries and industries would ultimately bear the brunt should the US step up trade protectionism.

Time for the National Pension Service to escape “home bias”

The National Pension Service (NPS) is Korea’s social security reserve fund. It was created in 1988 to support the retirement benefits of its citizens. Asset allocation ultimately determines the long-term investment performance of any pension fund. We explore five reasons why the NPS will become more ambitious in accelerating its allocation shift to overseas assets, particularly equities.

Get ready for rising rates

Rising interest rates present challenges for both investors and corporates. However, there are a variety of cost-effective solutions available, according to Matthew Reader, Head of Fixed Income Structured Products and Jonathan Rogers, Head of Rates & Hybrid Structuring, EMEA.

Highlights from Nomura Investment Forum Asia 2017

We held our 14th annual Nomura Investment Forum Asia (NIFA) from June 6 to 9, 2017 in Singapore. Hear from some of our key speakers in a highlight video from the conference.

Are striving tiger cubs the next phase of flying geese?

Our Asia economists present their scorecard of 23 Emerging Markets on foreign direct investment attractiveness and confirm India and ASEAN’s advantage over other Emerging Markets due to multiple push and pull factors.

Deal-contingent hedging: a flexible way to mitigate risk

Recent geopolitical volatility has had dramatic repercussions in the financial markets. The Brexit negotiations between the UK and EU have caused sterling to plummet to lows not seen in years, and protectionist rhetoric from the US has sent shockwaves through global FX markets and lifted interest rates to 5-year-highs.